Recent-Icebreaker
0x3c918a8ef8c379304f744592120cbb4d76149af7
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$299.2K
Total PnL
$39.2K
Realised
$14.8K
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
96500 shares @ 90.6¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$94.2K
$6.8K
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
94250 shares @ 70.7¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$78.7K
$12.1K
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
58000 shares @ 93.2¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$57.7K
$3.6K
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
34000 shares @ 95.6¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$33.9K
$1.4K
- NO
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
14600 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.4K
$537.89
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
16000 shares @ 84.2¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.4K
$-110.00
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
4800 shares @ 54.4¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.7K
$54.00
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
9000 shares @ 16.9¢·now 18.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.7K
$180.32
- YES
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
2570 shares @ 43.5¢·now 37.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$950.90
$-165.81
- YES
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 70.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$705.00
$5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$111.98Jun 13, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$99.70Jun 13, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?$19.39Jun 13, 08:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$185.40Jun 11, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$185.22Jun 11, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$277.83Jun 11, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$61.39Jun 11, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$0.94Jun 11, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$214.70Jun 11, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$738.41Jun 11, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$894.60Jun 11, 14:15 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$695.80Jun 11, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$1.1KJun 11, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$233.16Jun 11, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$1.4KJun 11, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$92.00Jun 11, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$1.9KJun 11, 13:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$2.0KJun 11, 13:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$8.1K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
Jun 11, 13:30 UTC → Jun 11, 13:24 UTC
- BUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$8.1K@92¢Jun 11, 13:24 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$8.1K
1 trades
30d volume
$8.1K
1 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
$8.1K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $802.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 14:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 08:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.