Glamorous-Usage
0x3d0ff2a973323f704469c0450dc6f0b17917af26
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$60.99
Total PnL
$-628.51
Realised
$-39.20
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?
180 shares @ 86.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$43.20
$-111.60
- YES
Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?
174 shares @ 39.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$14.79
$-53.07
- YES
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
3 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.00
$0.99
- YES
Will the US strike Syria next?
345 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-51.75
- YES
Will Ryan Seacrest say "Resolution" 3+ times on New Year's Rockin' Eve?
269 shares @ 80.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-215.47
- YES
Will Bryan Johnson say "Longevity Score" while tripping balls?
145 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-117.45
- YES
Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?
107 shares @ 21.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-23.33
- YES
Will Weapons be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
37 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-6.66
- YES
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 30?
33 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.29
- NO
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?
15 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.46
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill VirtualBacon win the Defi App trading competition?$0.11Jun 2, 03:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?$1.00Jun 2, 03:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket mindshare hit 70%?$2.00Jun 2, 03:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket mindshare hit 80%?$3.00Jun 2, 03:32 UTC
- REDEEMOnce Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?$5.00Jun 2, 03:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bryan Johnson say "Thanksgiving" while tripping balls?$7.00Jun 2, 03:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anca Alexandrescu get between 15% and 20% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?$9.00Jun 2, 03:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Leavitt say "Baby" or "Pregnant" during the next White House press briefing?$88.00Jun 2, 03:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$149.00Jun 2, 03:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?$294.00Jun 2, 03:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill ETHGAS launch a token by December 31, 2026?$495.00Jun 2, 03:32 UTC
- TRADESELLOver 4 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?$268.64Apr 21, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?$44.25Feb 9, 01:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?$92.63Feb 9, 01:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tempo launch a token by June 30, 2026?$41.58Feb 8, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tempo launch a token by June 30, 2026?$35.64Feb 8, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tempo launch a token by June 30, 2026?$5.40Feb 8, 16:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tempo launch a token by June 30, 2026?$4.86Feb 8, 16:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?$60.68Feb 8, 16:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?$106.56Feb 8, 16:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $113.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 09:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 03:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.