Powerless-Morbidity
0x3dace7c7233fe89d2eaf6c2c1d4537ddee57423a
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$22.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
1389 shares @ 36.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$534.72
$34.72
- YES
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
1234 shares @ 40.5¢·now 39.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$491.07
$-8.93
- YES
Will Tayte Willows win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?
102 shares @ 49.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$55.10
$5.10
- YES
Will Caley McDonald win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?
149 shares @ 33.6¢·now 25.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$37.20
$-12.80
- YES
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?
47 shares @ 32.3¢·now 39.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$18.37
$3.37
- YES
Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?
37 shares @ 40.5¢·now 44.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$16.50
$1.50
- YES
Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
43 shares @ 23.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$13.48
$3.48
- YES
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
23 shares @ 51.7¢·now 50.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$11.74
$-0.26
- YES
Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
31 shares @ 32.7¢·now 31.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$9.64
$-0.36
- YES
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
20 shares @ 51.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$9.61
$-0.39
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?$7.95Jul 8, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jim Schwartzel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?$10.24Jul 8, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$10.27Jul 8, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$12.23Jul 8, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marie Gluesenkamp Perez earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?$15.41Jul 8, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?$15.36Jul 8, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?$10.31Jul 8, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?$10.20Jul 8, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?$59.25Jul 8, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?$9.06Jul 8, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$18.82Jul 8, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.82Jul 8, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$19.73Jul 8, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.16Jul 8, 13:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$21.31Jul 8, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$22.33Jul 8, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?$10.34Jul 8, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?$61.34Jul 8, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$500.00Jul 8, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$500.00Jul 8, 13:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
22 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $64.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 13:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 8, 16:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.