Wallet profile

Handy-Ruffle

0x3dca854f147d9b9ecc56d37800f36b347ce23c13

activity 99/100

Wallet digest

whale

Activity score

99/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

120

Open notional

$110.8K

Total PnL

$-577.28

Realised

$17.0K

Win rate

72%

25 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 120

Recent activity

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

Ledger volume

$12.2K

Trades

1

Buy share

57%

Window

May 17, 18:10 UTC → Jul 5, 08:33 UTC

Last 30 days · daily volumemax $5.2K

Wallet edge sanity

Needs review

50/100
read-only

Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

72% win rate over 25 closed markets.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Watch only

14/100
no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.

Wallet signal
pass

39 live trades, 2 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.

Resolved-only track record
review

25 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.

Cost / slippage
missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk
missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity
missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation
missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution
missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$5.2K

1 trades

Buy share

57%

Sample

low

2 ledger trades

Top market concentration

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

$7.0K · 57% of recorded whale volume

Recorded market concentration

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?57% of recorded volume$7.0KMeloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by July 31?43% of recorded volume$5.2K

Profile dimensions

Activity70 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence83 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry38 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk41 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time)
39
Avg trade size
$65.73
Top category
—
Category concentration
0%
First seen
Jul 25, 08:39 UTC
Last active
Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
Win rate sample
25 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

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updated 00:51:21 UTC·src:Polymarket Data