Elderly-Grapefruit
0x3de5b3309a7a2c2d54bc67609cd743f52092c157
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$117.03
Total PnL
$-964.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will ground beef hit $8 per pound in 2026?
50 shares @ 60.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.00
$2.00
- YES
Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?
73 shares @ 37.6¢·now 27.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.72
$-7.78
- YES
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
43 shares @ 65.0¢·now 41.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.95
$-10.02
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
200 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$17.80
$-0.20
- YES
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
52 shares @ 19.4¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jan 3, 2027$10.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
710 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.33
$0.35
- YES
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
800 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.20
$0.40
- YES
Fed rate hike in 2026?
10 shares @ 11.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$4.30
$3.20
- YES
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
230 shares @ 2.2¢·now 1.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.03
$-1.03
- YES
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
60 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.39
$-9.81
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$321.75Jun 12, 16:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$0.00Jun 12, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$0.00Jun 12, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$0.00Jun 12, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$0.00Jun 12, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$0.00Jun 12, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$0.00Jun 12, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$0.00Jun 12, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$0.00Jun 12, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$0.00Jun 12, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$0.00Jun 12, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 25, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$0.00Jun 12, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 24, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$0.00Jun 12, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 24, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$0.00Jun 12, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$0.00Jun 12, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$0.00Jun 12, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$0.00Jun 12, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 24, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$0.00Jun 12, 13:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $321.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 13:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.