0x3e47cefcf28712e9b511da12cc03348143520c82
0x3e47cefcf28712e9b511da12cc03348143520c82
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$734.66
Total PnL
$76.75
Realised
$-66.58
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
290 shares @ 11.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$290.26
$258.33
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
299 shares @ 55.8¢·now 78.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$233.81
$66.75
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
595 shares @ 50.1¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$121.99
$-175.93
- YES
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?
67 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$67.39
$0.56
- NO
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
10 shares @ 87.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.62
$1.02
- NO
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
9 shares @ 90.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.49
$0.40
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
15 shares @ 58.1¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.04
$-5.59
- YES
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
21 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.03
$-0.01
- YES
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
16 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.02
$-0.01
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
25 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$3.64May 3, 05:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$4.17May 2, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by December 31?$15.56May 2, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$4.00May 2, 18:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$3.59May 2, 10:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$7.65May 1, 23:58 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$15.08May 1, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?$8.07May 1, 20:49 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$3.93May 1, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by December 31?$5.26May 1, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$31.93May 1, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by December 31?$5.13May 1, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by December 31?$9.75May 1, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$19.46May 1, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$6.52May 1, 13:28 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$22.77May 1, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$38.14May 1, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$0.63May 1, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by December 31?$4.64May 1, 10:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$3.06May 1, 10:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $21.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 23:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 3, 05:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.