Courteous-Cloak
0x3e6efd062a33c3373af08a577dfb7571d97b99ea
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$432.03
Realised
$-19.84
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?
231 shares @ 94.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$224.84
$7.85
- YES
Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?
444 shares @ 1.6¢·now 46.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2027$204.21
$197.27
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
237 shares @ 84.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$199.08
$0.00
- YES
Will Michele Tafoya be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
197 shares @ 5.1¢·now 90.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$178.38
$168.23
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?
170 shares @ 86.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$144.50
$-1.70
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-28 House seat?
125 shares @ 90.8¢·now 91.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$114.25
$0.85
- YES
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?
444 shares @ 1.6¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 3, 2027$104.32
$97.39
- NO
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson announce a Presidential run before 2027?
85 shares @ 90.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$82.78
$6.43
- NO
X banned in any European country by December 31?
157 shares @ 79.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$82.60
$-41.69
- YES
Will Brian Schatz be the next Senate Majority Leader?
444 shares @ 1.6¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jan 3, 2027$33.29
$26.36
Recent activity
- REWARD$4.66Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amy Klobuchar be the next Senate Majority Leader?$2.37Jun 12, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?$24.58Jun 12, 10:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill South Korea reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$115.97Jun 12, 10:22 UTC
- REWARD$0.11Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$12.63Jun 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?$22.18Jun 11, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brandon Jones advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$132.43Jun 11, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?$67.18Jun 11, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$162.48Jun 11, 05:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?$26.92Jun 11, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?$11.00Jun 11, 00:25 UTC
- REWARD$0.38Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$8.22Jun 11, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$0.54Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$8.67Jun 10, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$0.39Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$14.09Jun 9, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLNew pandemic in 2026?$224.49Jun 8, 18:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?$10.35Jun 8, 18:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $117.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.