Fickle-Smolt
0x3ea30c3f45d814e82e1ad32198213c71a223c850
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$269.19
Total PnL
$30.43
Realised
$0.43
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?
106 shares @ 38.9¢·now 66.2¢·exp May 15, 2026$70.13
$28.88
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
40 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$37.48
$0.27
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
36 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$33.62
$-0.18
- NO
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
25 shares @ 81.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.63
$2.38
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
25 shares @ 76.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.13
$0.13
- NO
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
10 shares @ 96.4¢·now 96.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$9.63
$-0.01
- YES
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?
10 shares @ 97.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$9.40
$-0.30
- NO
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
10 shares @ 86.0¢·now 89.6¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$8.96
$0.36
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
150 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.72
$-0.07
- YES
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
10 shares @ 86.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$7.25
$-1.35
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$5.00May 14, 23:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$10.00May 14, 23:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$10.00May 14, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$8.37May 14, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$7.30May 14, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?$5.10May 14, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$5.80May 14, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?$2.54May 14, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?$5.09May 14, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?$4.07May 14, 16:11 UTC
- TRADESELLKash Patel out by May 31?$8.76May 14, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?$7.15May 14, 16:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$9.64May 14, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?$9.22May 14, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?$9.22May 14, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?$19.39May 14, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?$0.31May 14, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?$6.63May 14, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?$8.97May 14, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?$9.65May 14, 09:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $7.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 21:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 23:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".