Mindless-Formal
0x3eecf7f6edf21aef221b74df52bd808e0fd152bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$74.54
Total PnL
$-65.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
20 shares @ 80.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.90
$2.90
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
11 shares @ 66.8¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$9.83
$2.33
- NO
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
11 shares @ 94.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.73
$-0.27
- NO
Will Grêmio Novorizontino vs. Criciúma EC end in a draw?
11 shares @ 70.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$7.94
$-0.06
- NO
Will Vila Nova FC vs. Fortaleza EC end in a draw?
11 shares @ 70.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$7.71
$-0.29
- NO
Will Avaí FC vs. América FC end in a draw?
8 shares @ 72.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$5.79
$-0.21
- NO
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
4 shares @ 76.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.51
$0.51
- YES
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
5 shares @ 41.9¢·now 50.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.40
$0.40
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
33 shares @ 15.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.33
$-2.67
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
4 shares @ 54.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.24
$0.24
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Aarhus GF vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?$11.11Jul 21, 19:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ulsan HD FC vs. Incheon United FC end in a draw?$12.68Jul 21, 14:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Corvinul 1921 Hunedoara vs. FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc end in a draw?$12.68Jul 20, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vila Nova FC vs. Fortaleza EC end in a draw?$8.12Jul 20, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avaí FC vs. América FC end in a draw?$6.08Jul 20, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grêmio Novorizontino vs. Criciúma EC end in a draw?$8.12Jul 20, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris end in a draw?$8.12Jul 20, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aarhus GF vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?$8.11Jul 20, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ulsan HD FC vs. Incheon United FC end in a draw?$9.13Jul 20, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC end in a draw?$10.15Jul 20, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Corvinul 1921 Hunedoara vs. FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc end in a draw?$9.13Jul 20, 04:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill NJ/NY Gotham FC vs. Washington Spirit end in a draw?$15.06Jul 16, 04:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill England vs. Argentina end in a draw?$14.98Jul 15, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump accuse China of election interference by July 16?$5.05Jul 15, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Japan military clash before 2027?$10.00Jul 15, 15:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NK Aluminij vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol end in a draw?$4.50Jul 15, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NJ/NY Gotham FC vs. Washington Spirit end in a draw?$9.40Jul 15, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NK Aluminij vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol end in a draw?$5.17Jul 15, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv end in a draw?$2.02Jul 15, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NJ/NY Gotham FC vs. Washington Spirit end in a draw?$10.17Jul 15, 15:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $6.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 14:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 19:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.