Corny-Tenth
0x3fbbb0e81839dac3a85ce70952ae35195f323f66
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
64
Open notional
$2.7K
Total PnL
$-7.2K
Realised
$-499.37
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
6663 shares @ 26.0¢·now 19.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.3K
$-445.10
- YES
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
1038 shares @ 72.9¢·now 62.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$648.46
$-108.32
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
400 shares @ 96.4¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$399.00
$13.20
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?
312 shares @ 91.4¢·now 95.6¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$297.90
$13.10
- NO
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?
26 shares @ 57.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$23.00
$7.93
- NO
Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 57.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$17.70
$6.30
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 49.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$13.35
$-1.35
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-37 House seat?
2 shares @ 84.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.51
$0.20
- YES
Will Jacob Misiorowski strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 70.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.41
$0.41
- YES
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?
4610 shares @ 50.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.3K
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$450.00Jul 29, 20:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$108.58Jul 29, 20:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$197.23Jul 28, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?$101.73Jul 28, 01:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?$187.63Jul 27, 23:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$2.33Jul 27, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$4.88Jul 26, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jacob Misiorowski strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?$1.00Jul 25, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMLos Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets$100.00Jul 25, 02:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$2.67Jul 25, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets$55.27Jul 24, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$119.16Jul 24, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$74.60Jul 24, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$193.97Jul 24, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$157.58Jul 24, 17:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
17% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $144.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 21:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 20:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.