Spanish-Priority
0x40047c2a7f97b6849ec2a665425c171dc4b6c40b
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
59
Open notional
$387.9K
Total PnL
$13.6K
Realised
$342.46
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
115938 shares @ 89.6¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$107.9K
$3.9K
- NO
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
91452 shares @ 85.1¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$82.3K
$4.5K
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
59869 shares @ 92.1¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$55.5K
$368.37
- YES
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
53380 shares @ 87.2¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.8K
$1.2K
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
29499 shares @ 81.7¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$24.9K
$832.67
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
20100 shares @ 93.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$19.5K
$805.00
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
10000 shares @ 98.3¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.9K
$115.00
- NO
Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
6762 shares @ 96.5¢·now 95.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.4K
$-86.35
- NO
Will Turkiye reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
5147 shares @ 95.6¢·now 96.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.0K
$35.37
- NO
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
5000 shares @ 85.3¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.5K
$262.08
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$28.4KJun 13, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uzbekistan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?$32.85Jun 13, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$278.26Jun 13, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$193.77Jun 13, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$10.84Jun 13, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$16.13Jun 13, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$7.6KJun 13, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$2.45Jun 13, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$532.31Jun 13, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$2.9KJun 13, 02:54 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Knicks$0.00Jun 13, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$498.70Jun 13, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$496.17Jun 13, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$495.15Jun 13, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$495.15Jun 13, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uzbekistan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?$32.85Jun 13, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$23.48Jun 13, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$2.8KJun 13, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$6.34Jun 13, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$990.30Jun 13, 02:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $816.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 10:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.