Thunderous-Kielbasa
0x4020dccda6cddbdd7ba49f5c9b9b21a77104ce0b
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
103
Open notional
$198.43
Total PnL
$-158.43
Realised
$5.82
Win rate
67%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 103- NO
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?
20 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$19.64
$4.71
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
19 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$18.93
$3.98
- NO
Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?
16 shares @ 31.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$15.69
$10.82
- NO
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
15 shares @ 35.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$14.68
$9.44
- NO
Will Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?
13 shares @ 39.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$13.19
$8.05
- NO
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?
12 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$12.36
$6.67
- NO
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
10 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$10.03
$3.31
- NO
Will BIG qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?
10 shares @ 58.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$9.66
$4.03
- NO
Will Justin Briner as Izuku Midoriya (My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (English) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
9 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$9.45
$4.16
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
9 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$9.19
$1.93
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?$3.20Jun 13, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GenG qualify to MSI 2026?$0.76Jun 13, 09:03 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Germany (-3.5)$2.46Jun 13, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GenG qualify to MSI 2026?$2.23Jun 13, 07:50 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Switzerland (-2.5)$3.22Jun 13, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?$2.25Jun 13, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5$1.44Jun 13, 00:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June 2026?$2.40Jun 12, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?$1.94Jun 12, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?$1.59Jun 12, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mitch Marner win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?$2.81Jun 12, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?$2.61Jun 12, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$1.42Jun 12, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Germany (-2.5)$3.35Jun 12, 14:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?$1.65Jun 12, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?$1.95Jun 12, 12:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?$1.23Jun 12, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?$1.84Jun 12, 11:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation be 4.0% in June?$3.91Jun 12, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$1.68Jun 12, 07:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 17:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 19:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.