0x40b6eb1bc3732c00ff4088562347f609910092d5
0x40b6eb1bc3732c00ff4088562347f609910092d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$194.09
Total PnL
$-14.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
60 shares @ 89.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$44.70
$-8.70
- NO
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?
40 shares @ 79.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$30.00
$-1.60
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
30 shares @ 88.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$29.71
$3.31
- NO
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?
40 shares @ 68.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$28.40
$1.20
- YES
Will Titan launch a token by December 31, 2027?
40 shares @ 56.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$24.60
$2.20
- YES
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?
40 shares @ 73.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$19.00
$-10.20
- NO
Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group C?
11 shares @ 92.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.18
$-0.17
- NO
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
30 shares @ 28.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.50
$-0.90
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.48Jun 14, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.24Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$26.25Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$19.21Jun 13, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$14.53Jun 13, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$1.21Jun 13, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$1.03Jun 13, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$3.44Jun 13, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$9.36Jun 13, 04:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$4.54Jun 13, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$8.88Jun 13, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$0.98Jun 13, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$3.33Jun 13, 02:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$9.70Jun 13, 01:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$144.10Jun 13, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$52.00Jun 13, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$52.00Jun 13, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$54.00Jun 13, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$10.00Jun 13, 01:38 UTC
- REWARD$11.38Jun 13, 00:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $36.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 14:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.