Majestic-Utility
0x40e3b584cae740374efab80dd689ae592df1df62
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$53.72
Total PnL
$-98.80
Realised
$-2.57
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?
54 shares @ 95.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$53.72
$2.31
- YES
Trump out as President by March 31?
428 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.57
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
283 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.05
- NO
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
51 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-34.39
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
48 shares @ 94.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-45.65
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
22 shares @ 31.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$6.88Jul 17, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$34.83Jun 22, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$9.05May 25, 10:49 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$18.75May 16, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$20.87May 16, 11:42 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$35.18May 8, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$36.52May 6, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$45.65May 5, 12:42 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by March 31, 2026?$52.41Apr 1, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by March 31?$103.45Apr 1, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by March 31, 2026?$51.52Mar 24, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by March 31?$103.14Mar 23, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by March 31?$2.57Mar 22, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?$21.79Mar 22, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?$29.62Mar 22, 03:33 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by March 31?$19.33Mar 21, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$23.97Mar 18, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$19.44Mar 17, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by April 30?$20.74Mar 16, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$18.98Mar 16, 15:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $33.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 21:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 01:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.