0x414c7504a84abb3c71e2835cfba4e0c2ce88e4d3
0x414c7504a84abb3c71e2835cfba4e0c2ce88e4d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$77.90
Total PnL
$-18.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
49 shares @ 51.1¢·now 51.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$24.89
$0.02
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
48 shares @ 52.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$24.63
$-0.24
- NO
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
107 shares @ 13.9¢·now 9.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.90
$-5.02
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 27, 2026?
50 shares @ 12.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.23
$-0.77
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 19, 2026?
41 shares @ 14.5¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.09
$-2.91
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 22, 2026?
24 shares @ 17.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.88
$-2.12
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 30, 2026?
14 shares @ 14.5¢·now 9.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.31
$-0.69
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 25, 2026?
13 shares @ 16.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.19
$-0.81
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 24, 2026?
12 shares @ 16.2¢·now 9.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.17
$-0.83
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?
12 shares @ 16.5¢·now 9.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.15
$-0.85
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 17, 2026?$0.00May 18, 03:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 16, 2026?$0.00May 18, 03:25 UTC
- REDEEM MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano$0.00May 18, 03:25 UTC
- REDEEM MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry$5.00May 17, 11:28 UTC
- REDEEM MVP Fight Night: Francis Ngannou vs. Philipe Lins$0.00May 17, 11:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?$0.00May 16, 08:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?$0.00May 15, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$0.00May 15, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$1.07May 15, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 16, 2026?$2.07May 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 17, 2026?$2.07May 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?$2.07May 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?$2.06May 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 25, 2026?$2.07May 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 26, 2026?$2.06May 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?$2.07May 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 19, 2026?$2.07May 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 24, 2026?$2.07May 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 20, 2026?$2.07May 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 27, 2026?$2.06May 15, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $4.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 16:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 03:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".