Unusual-Deployment
0x415735209953bf22aae48b89a497c25fff04db18
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$12.73
Total PnL
$-7.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 122m?
30 shares @ 43.3¢·now 21.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$6.46
$-6.54
- YES
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.26
$-0.74
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12 shares @ 16.5¢·now 16.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.65May 14, 23:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$4.99May 14, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 122m?$13.37May 14, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?$5.21May 14, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$5.08May 14, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.05May 14, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.02May 14, 04:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $4.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 04:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 23:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".