Scary-Ground
0x4160189917e620d266cf6238631577b3125b03bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$21.69
Total PnL
$-3.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
21 shares @ 93.5¢·now 89.9¢·exp May 23, 2026$18.88
$-0.76
- NO
Will Bernie say "Billionaire" 3+ times in Maine?
76 shares @ 3.3¢·now 3.7¢·exp May 24, 2026$2.81
$0.30
- YES
Will Romania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
34 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie say "Billionaire" 3+ times in Maine?$0.27May 22, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie say "Billionaire" 3+ times in Maine?$1.71May 22, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie say "Billionaire" 3+ times in Maine?$0.59May 22, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$19.70May 21, 02:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?$43.00May 20, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?$40.94May 19, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?$3.94May 19, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?$0.90May 18, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?$1.03May 18, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?$1.71May 18, 22:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$21.00May 17, 02:55 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 15?$59.00May 16, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$15.58May 13, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$41.84May 13, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$3.40May 13, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$19.21May 13, 06:37 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 15?$82.79May 13, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$82.36May 13, 00:44 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine election held by June 30, 2026?$81.59May 12, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election held by June 30, 2026?$81.51May 12, 17:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $34.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 22:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 01:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".