Novel-Discretion
0x41646c3f07443fc43b51fecbae7b41ad2578a444
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$243.37
Total PnL
$-59.09
Realised
$7.20
Win rate
100%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
252 shares @ 91.3¢·now 96.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$242.09
$12.09
- YES
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
17 shares @ 26.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.27
$-3.15
- TEAM YANDEX
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- MOUZ
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on November 11?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- BETBOOM TEAM
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner
40 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-16.80
- PARIVISION
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- VIRTUS.PRO
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner
20 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- PARIVISION
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner
15 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
- TUNDRA ESPORTS
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3)
10 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-3.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$231.00May 11, 16:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$180.28May 11, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$49.00May 6, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.89May 6, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.35May 6, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.40May 6, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$68.05May 6, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$4.41May 5, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$15.23May 5, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$4.00May 1, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$4.00May 1, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$2.50May 1, 09:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?$4.14Apr 20, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?$20.00Mar 26, 16:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$22.50Mar 23, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$20.00Mar 16, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$217.35Mar 16, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$216.48Mar 13, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google reach $430 in February?$0.00Mar 2, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google reach $430 in February?$216.47Mar 2, 09:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $51.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 18, 15:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 16:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.