Burly-Fannypack
0x4169bcdf30f25dde88af6095ea92095e264098e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$5.36
Total PnL
$-61.74
Realised
$-0.55
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will a team from Spain be the 2026 Champions League winner?
5 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$5.00
$1.00
- NO
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
2 shares @ 37.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.36
$-0.53
- NO
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
21 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-19.74
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
21 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-18.30
- NO
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?
11 shares @ 92.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-9.91
- NO
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?
10 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-0.44
- NO
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11?
5 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.85
- NO
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?
4 shares @ 75.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.84
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
3 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-0.40
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
3 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.45
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?$0.27May 8, 17:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chelsea win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?$0.90May 8, 17:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zach Werenski win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?$0.36May 8, 17:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.25May 8, 17:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?$1.33May 8, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?$2.04May 8, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?$2.25May 8, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?$2.61May 8, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$3.78May 8, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?$3.81May 8, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?$4.67May 8, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill San Diego FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$4.76May 8, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$4.85May 8, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026?$6.17May 8, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?$12.68May 8, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s US Open?$19.11May 8, 17:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Armenia Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$21.00May 8, 17:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?$3.00Apr 29, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$4.40Apr 29, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C or higher on April 9?$7.04Apr 29, 03:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $4.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 04:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 17:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.