Considerate-Footnote
0x417789c2007d47a082ec7c61f3fb542925b0366b
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$6.50
Total PnL
$-160.42
Realised
$1.54
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
50 shares @ 22.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.50
$-4.50
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1731 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-35.60
- YES
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by April 30, 2026?
795 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-56.80
- YES
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520?
500 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- LAKERS
Thunder vs. Lakers
248 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-37.26
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
183 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $620b and $630b on April 30?
89 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will "Michael" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
83 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.81
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of April 27 2026?
34 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Lakers$38.21May 12, 02:56 UTC
- TRADESELLMeek Mill gets Y Combinator funding by June 30?$37.98May 12, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$14.41May 6, 03:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?$3.42May 4, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520?$0.43May 4, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520?$0.28May 4, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?$5.00May 4, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?$1.20May 4, 06:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 4, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520?$6.54May 3, 23:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?$0.23May 3, 11:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?$10.00May 3, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$22.23May 3, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of April 27 2026?$1.04May 1, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?$20.56May 1, 03:17 UTC
- TRADESELLMeek Mill gets Y Combinator funding by June 30?$44.55May 1, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by April 30, 2026?$44.00Apr 26, 07:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$43.54Apr 26, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$42.00Apr 24, 10:26 UTC
- TRADESELLNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets $42.53Apr 24, 10:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $18.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 09:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 02:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.