Icky-Iris
0x418027dc8f32c90dcfd205219957027e10ab904b
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$64.09
Total PnL
$-284.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
39 shares @ 38.4¢·now 47.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.54
$3.54
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
16 shares @ 64.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.80
$1.80
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
13 shares @ 76.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.12
$1.12
- YES
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?
67 shares @ 15.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
26 shares @ 38.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.97
$-3.03
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
32 shares @ 30.9¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$5.66
$-4.34
- YES
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?
547 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-28.44
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
200 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-26.04
- YES
Will the match end in a draw?
151 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?
109 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2025$0.00
$-84.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$5.00May 23, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$10.00May 22, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$10.06May 10, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?$10.23May 6, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$10.00May 3, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$10.00May 3, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$10.00May 3, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Toulon win?$5.09May 2, 14:03 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$29.85May 2, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$10.00Apr 26, 19:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$8.16Apr 8, 20:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy win on 2026-03-26?$12.66Mar 30, 13:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?$13.00Mar 26, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win on 2026-03-26?$10.00Mar 26, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?$19.48Mar 26, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$20.00Mar 25, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$10.00Mar 20, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$5.00Mar 17, 21:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$22.90Mar 17, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AC Milan win on 2026-03-15?$5.00Mar 15, 20:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $9.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 06:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 05:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".