Regular-Infant
0x41bef4624b8e4fa6a78e9b396e005615918457f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$20.25
Total PnL
$-0.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
5 shares @ 57.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$5.19
$2.19
- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.92
$0.92
- YES
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.35
$0.35
- YES
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.33
$0.33
- YES
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$1.27
$0.27
- YES
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Will Mike Vrabel win NFL Coach of the Year?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$1.20
$0.20
- YES
Will James Solomon win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?
1 shares @ 84.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$1.18
$0.18
- YES
Will Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Will Hades II win Best Game on Steam Deck at the 2025 Steam Awards?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$1.12
$0.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00Feb 6, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.00Jan 29, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Vrabel win NFL Coach of the Year?$1.00Jan 23, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Jan 6, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?$1.00Dec 26, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hades II win Best Game on Steam Deck at the 2025 Steam Awards?$1.00Dec 19, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal finish first in UCL league phase?$1.00Dec 11, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?$1.00Nov 28, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Rams win the NFC West?$1.00Nov 21, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Solomon win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?$1.00Nov 13, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.00Nov 7, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.00Oct 30, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.00Oct 24, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?$1.00Oct 16, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool win on 2025-08-15?$1.30Oct 10, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMMLS: Will New England beat D.C. United?$1.75Oct 10, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Oct 10, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYRainbow FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.00Sep 25, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$1.00Sep 12, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.00Sep 8, 05:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 07:23 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 6, 10:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".