Enormous-Clock
0x42214ac6b72b7675788a411bb94f46f112d264d8
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$1.19
Total PnL
$-137.02
Realised
$-2.85
Win rate
0%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$1.19
$0.19
- YES
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-17?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Trump kiss by May 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
867 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week?
250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?
189 shares @ 40.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-77.00
- YES
Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?
134 shares @ 17.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-23.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
117 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.93
- YES
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?
55 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-07-06?$10.23Jul 6, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran Play in the World Cup?$20.44Jun 8, 16:11 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?$0.42Jun 8, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran Play in the World Cup?$14.39Jun 7, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran Play in the World Cup?$25.86Jun 7, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran Play in the World Cup?$5.14Jun 7, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran Play in the World Cup?$20.58Jun 7, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?$27.52May 23, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?$50.84May 23, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump kiss by May 31?$1.04May 22, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?$1.04May 17, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-17?$1.03May 17, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-17?$1.03May 17, 21:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$15.87May 17, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?$3.12May 16, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$3.14May 15, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael election: will Likud lose seats?$1.01May 15, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?$1.03May 15, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?$20.49May 15, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$1.04May 13, 22:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $8.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 15, 22:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 18:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.