Cruel-Iris
0x422ffce78ba5f1f5783e8495d12867be49c46b1d
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$247.61
Total PnL
$-33.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
278 shares @ 72.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$206.94
$6.94
- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?
60 shares @ 67.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$39.70
$-0.30
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
- NO
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?
325 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$1.00May 20, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?$40.00May 20, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$58.28May 20, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$100.00May 18, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$100.00May 18, 16:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?$120.11May 17, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?$101.48May 17, 20:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$123.07May 16, 22:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?$41.81May 14, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$110.69May 13, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$114.46May 13, 13:13 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$5.54May 11, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$2.08May 11, 13:01 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$16.15May 8, 08:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?$5.02May 6, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?$116.68May 6, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$10.00May 4, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?$50.00May 4, 06:17 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$40.00May 3, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$40.00May 3, 16:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $43.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 08:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 09:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".