Full-Flatboat
0x427645f9a7dc060aca702a9afab8eacbb44984e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$726.50
Total PnL
$-213.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
346 shares @ 86.8¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$312.90
$12.90
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
1429 shares @ 14.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$121.43
$-78.57
- NO
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
75 shares @ 66.8¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$66.93
$16.93
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
59 shares @ 85.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$55.59
$5.59
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
70 shares @ 71.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$55.28
$5.28
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?
333 shares @ 6.0¢·now 10.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$33.83
$13.83
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
38 shares @ 72.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$21.66
$-5.46
- YES
Will EUR/USD hit 1.40 (High) in 2026?
500 shares @ 18.5¢·now 2.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.25
$-81.49
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
303 shares @ 6.6¢·now 3.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.06
$-8.94
- YES
Will EUR/USD hit 1.26 (High) in 2026?
100 shares @ 49.9¢·now 8.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.35
$-41.59
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$47.04Jul 15, 11:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
4 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $72.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.