Glorious-Mutton
0x428899c989818e5f06ffb6ea5017e916796109c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-163.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
2051 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-68.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
225 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 10?
82 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
34 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-19.70
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
26 shares @ 75.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-19.83
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?$101.74Feb 14, 22:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?$113.63Feb 14, 22:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$43.73Feb 12, 20:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$101.38Feb 12, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?$4.72Feb 12, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$33.78Feb 12, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?$21.74Feb 12, 20:17 UTC
- TRADESELLMamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?$39.15Feb 12, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?$22.89Feb 12, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$50.89Feb 12, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$50.75Feb 12, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLMajor meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?$49.99Feb 12, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$25.00Feb 12, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$20.00Feb 12, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$46.79Feb 12, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$20.00Feb 12, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$20.00Feb 12, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$20.00Feb 12, 19:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$0.00Feb 12, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$20.00Feb 12, 19:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $37.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 09:30 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 14, 22:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.