Simple-Blank
0x42e97a2399cc0db5d4a8433b10f66c4467b4776e
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
67
Open notional
$140.86
Total PnL
$-340.36
Realised
$-28.47
Win rate
0%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 67- YES
Will Portland Thorns FC win on 2026-05-20?
37 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$37.04
$17.04
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
23 shares @ 81.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$23.15
$4.35
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
23 shares @ 65.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$22.87
$7.87
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
20 shares @ 90.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.00
$1.92
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
19 shares @ 51.9¢·now 63.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$12.23
$2.23
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
12 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.90
$1.90
- YES
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
7 shares @ 45.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.17
$3.17
- YES
Discord IPO before 2027?
11 shares @ 90.9¢·now 27.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.03
$-6.97
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
2 shares @ 58.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.70
$0.70
- YES
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?
6 shares @ 69.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.19
$-2.81
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$10.06May 20, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portland Thorns FC win on 2026-05-20?$20.28May 20, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be 78°F or higher on May 13?$1.00May 12, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$10.06May 12, 21:41 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$2.70May 12, 21:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$6.10May 12, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$30.00Apr 16, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$15.00Apr 15, 20:56 UTC
- REDEEMNew York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$32.93Apr 15, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrail Blazers vs. Suns$23.60Apr 14, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$5.00Apr 13, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$20.00Apr 13, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$3.00Apr 12, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$2.00Apr 12, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$3.90Apr 12, 11:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$6.42Apr 12, 11:22 UTC
- REDEEMEdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?$6.67Apr 12, 11:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$26.18Apr 12, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.00Mar 19, 22:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-03-14?$11.22Mar 19, 22:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $9.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 22:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.