0x43261a72d8319f0f61ba047623ad88ca57e99d96
0x43261a72d8319f0f61ba047623ad88ca57e99d96
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$32.02
Total PnL
$-751.95
Realised
$-295.65
Win rate
0%
127 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
48 shares @ 39.1¢·now 42.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$20.45
$1.83
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
16 shares @ 39.0¢·now 41.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.48
$0.32
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
10 shares @ 36.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.99
$0.44
- YES
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
10 shares @ 6.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.10
$0.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C on February 24?
362 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-10.10
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
42 shares @ 41.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-17.50
- YES
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
18 shares @ 38.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-6.88
- YES
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
17 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-6.33
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
5 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.25
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
5 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
66/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 127 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
127 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 127 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.