Mushy-Doe
0x433b9d07210504760b35124d5a14ca10b669f372
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$93.45
Total PnL
$-646.55
Realised
$291.71
Win rate
43%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
520 shares @ 10.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$62.40
$10.40
- YES
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
986 shares @ 5.4¢·now 3.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$31.05
$-21.95
- YES
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 187m?
11702 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-26.88
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?
10250 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-50.99
- YES
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 167m and 177m?
9914 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-76.99
- YES
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
7690 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.69
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?
7006 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-74.98
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
6559 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-214.17
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
5463 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-17.69
- YES
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 177m and 187m?
5155 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-25.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$3.00Jun 4, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$17.00Jun 4, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$7.00Jun 4, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$6.00Jun 4, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$15.00Jun 4, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$10.00Jun 4, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$8.00Jun 4, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$25.00Jun 4, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$14.00Jun 4, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.04Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.77Jun 3, 23:45 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$2.92Jun 3, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$4.16Jun 3, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.04Jun 3, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.04Jun 3, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.04Jun 3, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$13.52Jun 3, 21:58 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$20.09Jun 3, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$22.00Jun 2, 16:52 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$22.20Jun 2, 16:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $65.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 11:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 21:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".