Calm-Warmth
0x4383f2edd5b80a5c29a7fc18a768aed5ea984f2b
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$213.24
Total PnL
$-423.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?
1005 shares @ 6.6¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$75.36
$9.36
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1250 shares @ 1.6¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$28.13
$8.13
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
364 shares @ 16.5¢·now 6.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.02
$-37.98
- YES
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
128 shares @ 38.9¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.84
$-28.16
- YES
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
125 shares @ 16.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.75
$-1.25
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
323 shares @ 3.1¢·now 3.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.42
$2.42
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
557 shares @ 3.6¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.92
$-8.08
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.61
$-1.39
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
87 shares @ 11.5¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.39
$-1.61
- YES
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?
215 shares @ 14.0¢·now 2.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.80
$-24.20
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$31.82Jun 9, 03:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLIran coup attempt by June 30?$33.88Jun 8, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran coup attempt by June 30?$40.00Jun 8, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$20.00Jun 8, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$10.00Jun 8, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$10.00Jun 8, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 8?$54.39Jun 8, 08:51 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$62.40Jun 8, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$50.00Jun 8, 04:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 8?$30.00Jun 7, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$30.00Jun 7, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$20.00Jun 7, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Turkey military clash before 2027?$20.00Jun 7, 20:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $26.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 21:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.