Experienced-Differential
0x439e9e3894de90a0e068fe707b9e11392cb710c6
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
69
Open notional
$4.92
Total PnL
$-138.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 69- YES
Reya FDV above $1B one day after launch?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.30
$1.30
- YES
Will Iraq win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
188 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.41
$-1.55
- NO
Will Kathy Hochul win the 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary?
80 shares @ 6.0¢·now 1.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.80
$-4.00
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
176 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.26
$-2.24
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June?
58 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.14
$-1.14
- YES
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?
389 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.71
- YES
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by March 31?
276 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.31
- YES
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
271 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.22
- YES
Military action against Iran ends on March 26, 2026?
243 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.59
- YES
Military action against Iran ends on March 27, 2026?
230 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.76
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Thom Tillis vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?$0.03Apr 22, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thom Tillis vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?$0.80Apr 22, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thom Tillis vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?$0.33Apr 15, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thom Tillis vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?$1.83Apr 14, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thom Tillis vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?$0.20Apr 14, 12:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?$5.31Apr 11, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thom Tillis vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?$0.14Apr 7, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thom Tillis vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?$0.22Apr 7, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thom Tillis vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?$1.60Apr 6, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.64Apr 5, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.05Apr 5, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thom Tillis vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?$0.83Apr 5, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.17Apr 5, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.17Apr 5, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.17Apr 5, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.17Apr 5, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.07Apr 5, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.07Apr 5, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.09Apr 5, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in China?$0.62Apr 2, 19:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 19:45 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 22, 15:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.