0x43a656ce1def78b4764ac2796e837b247450dcf8
0x43a656ce1def78b4764ac2796e837b247450dcf8
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$80.55
Total PnL
$-7.98
Realised
$0.55
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?
16 shares @ 95.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$15.54
$0.67
- YES
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?
13 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$13.29
$0.66
- ESUBA
Game Handicap: ESB (-1.5) vs Onion Team (+1.5)
10 shares @ 91.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$10.04
$0.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13?
9 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$9.05
$0.11
- G2
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)
9 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$8.54
$0.51
- VITALITY
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A
8 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$7.94
$0.40
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
6 shares @ 94.1¢·now 93.8¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$5.44
$-0.02
- ZERO TENACITY
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winner
5 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$5.36
$1.61
- XLG GAMING
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs JD Gaming - Map 2 Winner
2 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$2.30
$0.44
- YES
Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
2 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$1.88
$0.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$5.47Jun 12, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$5.52Jun 11, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$5.45Jun 9, 09:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$5.83Jun 8, 04:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?$3.26Jun 7, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?$5.05Jun 7, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$5.62Jun 5, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?$5.30Jun 3, 21:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?$3.48Jun 3, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?$5.25Jun 1, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?$5.85May 31, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$5.87May 31, 14:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$3.33May 31, 09:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.00May 31, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.24May 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$5.82May 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?$5.33May 28, 06:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?$5.30May 27, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?$5.29May 27, 00:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$5.64May 27, 00:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 20:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 17:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.