Unsung-Icy
0x43a73e1988b8d7fe73870d854026a6f3222c0b46
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
144
Open notional
$59.02
Total PnL
$-688.36
Realised
$-41.80
Win rate
59%
61 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 144- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
166 shares @ 34.2¢·now 8.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$14.58
$-42.06
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
14 shares @ 62.9¢·now 62.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$8.93
$-0.05
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
25 shares @ 2.8¢·now 30.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$7.63
$6.92
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
57 shares @ 8.7¢·now 8.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?
23 shares @ 48.4¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.63
$-7.37
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
12 shares @ 25.5¢·now 29.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$3.48
$0.42
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
107 shares @ 19.9¢·now 2.6¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.82
$-18.40
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
4 shares @ 80.2¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$2.71
$-0.29
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
35 shares @ 13.3¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.27
$-2.39
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?
134 shares @ 15.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.55
$-18.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$0.70Jul 28, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?$2.07Jul 28, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$2.40Jul 28, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$0.30Jul 28, 14:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?$0.42Jul 28, 14:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.30Jul 28, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.04Jul 28, 09:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?$3.71Jul 28, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$1.05Jul 27, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$0.90Jul 27, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.48Jul 27, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$0.58Jul 27, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?$1.02Jul 27, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?$1.02Jul 27, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$0.27Jul 27, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$4.04Jul 27, 10:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?$6.57Jul 27, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?$2.70Jul 26, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$1.56Jul 26, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$0.61Jul 26, 12:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
59% win rate over 61 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
61 closed markets, 59% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 13:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 16:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 61 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.