Cheery-Alert
0x43ab6682572796f6f684970ebb6cf8c14c92a0ef
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$15.2K
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$798.91
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
4500 shares @ 81.4¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.7K
$50.50
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
1944 shares @ 91.3¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.8K
$30.58
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
2000 shares @ 56.3¢·now 75.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.5K
$373.00
- NO
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
1400 shares @ 75.6¢·now 96.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.4K
$293.70
- NO
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 80.2¢·now 96.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$965.00
$163.00
- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1016 shares @ 94.6¢·now 93.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$948.52
$-12.68
- YES
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
10366 shares @ 13.0¢·now 8.7¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$900.77
$-445.52
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
1000 shares @ 90.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$865.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
2000 shares @ 75.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$850.00
$-650.00
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
800 shares @ 73.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$548.00
$-36.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.11May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 17, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 15?$2.5KMay 16, 07:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 15, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?$0.00May 14, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?$43.46May 14, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?$1.54May 14, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?$46.14May 14, 00:59 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.35May 14, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Qatar send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$197.20May 13, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?$1.86May 13, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?$29.49May 13, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?$0.19May 13, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?$2.40May 13, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?$0.43May 13, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?$0.54May 13, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?$2.43May 13, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?$1.08May 13, 16:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $26.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 21:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".