Loathsome-Diffuse
0x43d57bd7ab0ef255e00bfcb52ab1f62d543f2e11
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$3.3K
Total PnL
$664.86
Realised
$74.42
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
1908 shares @ 48.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.7K
$791.82
- NO
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
821 shares @ 63.6¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$743.00
$221.14
- NO
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?
752 shares @ 78.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$575.28
$-11.28
- YES
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
641 shares @ 75.0¢·now 16.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$108.33
$-372.42
- YES
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
274 shares @ 55.2¢·now 34.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$94.78
$-56.47
- NO
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
104 shares @ 25.9¢·now 83.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$86.42
$59.49
- YES
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?
156 shares @ 14.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.02
$-14.82
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
27 shares @ 91.6¢·now 10.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.88
$-21.86
- YES
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?
12 shares @ 8.7¢·now 20.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.39
$1.35
- NO
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.80
$0.69
Recent activity
- REDEEMNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 17, 15:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Monaco advance to the round of 16?$0.00Jun 17, 15:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Artemis II launch by February 28?$0.00Jun 17, 15:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Habshan Field or any Processing Plants of the Habshan Complex by April 30?$0.00Jun 17, 15:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?$0.00Jun 17, 15:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Woody Allen be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?$0.00Jun 17, 15:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for January 29 be between 2,300,000 and 2,400,000?$0.00Jun 17, 15:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tisza win 90–99 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$0.00Jun 17, 15:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?$0.00Jun 17, 15:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?$35.00Jun 17, 15:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?$42.00Jun 17, 15:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?$49.26Jun 17, 15:44 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 17, 15:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?$0.00Jun 17, 15:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for January 27 be less than 2,100,000?$0.00Jun 17, 15:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08?$108.00Jun 17, 15:44 UTC
- REDEEMTexas Longhorns vs. Arkansas Razorbacks (W)$0.00Jun 17, 15:44 UTC
- REDEEMAnother crypto hack over $100m before 2027?$0.00Jun 17, 15:44 UTC
- REDEEMDundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5$0.00Jun 17, 15:44 UTC
- REDEEMClemson Tigers vs. Western Carolina Catamounts$92.00Jun 17, 15:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
83% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $109.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 07:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 15:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.