Extroverted-Chaos
0x445d7f9d4b2a7e647740e10c3b22f9c884723a02
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
63
Open notional
$17.48
Total PnL
$-46.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- NO
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.51
$0.51
- NO
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.37
$0.37
- NO
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.33
$0.33
- YES
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 91.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- NO
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.19
$0.19
- NO
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.16
$0.16
- YES
Will Oviedo be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- NO
Tush Push banned for 2026 NFL Season?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Sep 10, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- NO
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jan 3, 2027$1.05
$0.05
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?$1.00May 1, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?$1.00May 1, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMCilia Flores released from custody by January 9, 2026?$1.02May 1, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro in U.S. custody by January 31?$1.02May 1, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?$1.03May 1, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Uloma Ekpete Kama win the GA-14 special election?$1.04May 1, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMCongress authorizes military force against Venezuela by January 31?$1.04May 1, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anaconda make 70 million or more domestically by January 31?$1.08May 1, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMNegative GDP growth in Q4 2025?$1.09May 1, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?$1.10May 1, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$1.10May 1, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Leonardo DiCaprio be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.14May 1, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Xavi Hernandez be the next Chelsea manager?$1.16May 1, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMNuclear weapon detonation by June 30?$1.19May 1, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Julie Menin be the next Speaker of the New York City Council?$1.23May 1, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.43May 1, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?$1.85May 1, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$2.44May 1, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New Jersey Devils make the NHL Playoffs?$2.50May 1, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$2.82May 1, 06:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 2, 11:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 1, 06:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.