Will Oviedo be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?
Probability
94¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$13.33
Liquidity
$1.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
+8.9pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 826h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $1.2k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 826.2h
- 13:47SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 826h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 90¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 90¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 91¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 91¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 91¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 91¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 91¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 88¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 88¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 88¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 88¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.3pp
to 88¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.3pp
to 88¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 87¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 87¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.6pp
to 87¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.9pp
to 89¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.7pp
to 89¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.8pp
to 88¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.3pp
to 91¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.1pp
to 91¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This is a polymarket to predict which clubs are relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season. If the listed club is officially relegated by La Liga following the 2025–26 season, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2025–26 La Liga season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from La Liga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).