Wallet profile

True-Counsel

0x44a1159b925c145e70f746bb3f0f58380553bd21

activity 89/100

Wallet digest

whale

Activity score

89/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

39

Open notional

$96.5K

Total PnL

$-92.0K

Realised

$2.5K

Win rate

85%

13 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 39

Recent activity

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

Ledger volume

$95.5K

Trades

4

Buy share

42%

Window

May 16, 22:57 UTC → Jun 17, 19:52 UTC

Last 30 days · daily volumemax $45.5K

Wallet edge sanity

Needs review

29/100
read-only

Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.

PnL is mostly mark-to-market

Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.

Elevated mirror risk

Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.

Late-entry profile

Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

85% win rate over 13 closed markets.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Watch only

0/100
no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.

Wallet signal
review

48 live trades, 4 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.

Resolved-only track record
review

13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.

Cost / slippage
missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk
missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity
missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation
missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution
missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$45.5K

2 trades

30d volume

$55.5K

3 trades

Buy share

42%

Sample

limited

4 ledger trades

Top market concentration

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

$45.5K · 48% of recorded whale volume

Recorded market concentration

Will England win on 2026-06-17?48% of recorded volume$45.5KWill Czechia win Eurovision 2026?42% of recorded volume$40.0KRoland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Anna Bondar10% of recorded volume$10.0K

Profile dimensions

Activity72 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence43 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry28 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk60 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time)
48
Avg trade size
$1.2K
Top category
—
Category concentration
0%
First seen
Jun 19, 14:51 UTC
Last active
Jun 19, 16:36 UTC
Win rate sample
13 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

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updated 16:45:48 UTC·src:Polymarket Data