0x44c1dfe43260c94ed4f1d00de2e1f80fb113ebc1
0x44c1dfe43260c94ed4f1d00de2e1f80fb113ebc1
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
115
Open notional
$495.6K
Total PnL
$-325.1K
Realised
$-252.0K
Win rate
69%
42 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 115- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
173364 shares @ 71.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$143.0K
$19.9K
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
89227 shares @ 82.5¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$75.4K
$1.8K
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
72108 shares @ 85.8¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$67.4K
$5.6K
- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
59915 shares @ 86.5¢·now 92.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$55.6K
$3.8K
- NO
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
30884 shares @ 94.3¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$30.6K
$1.5K
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
33348 shares @ 58.9¢·now 60.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$20.2K
$535.54
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
10562 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$10.5K
$26.42
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
214668 shares @ 13.9¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$9.7K
$-20.1K
- YES
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
8367 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$8.2K
$295.57
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
37336 shares @ 23.7¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.3K
$-1.6K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$85.20Jun 10, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$3.02Jun 10, 01:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$0.02Jun 10, 01:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$0.00Jun 10, 01:15 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$61.49Jun 10, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$0.02Jun 10, 00:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$0.10Jun 10, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt concede by June 15?$137.52Jun 10, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$227.74Jun 10, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?$0.78Jun 10, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?$6.16Jun 10, 00:23 UTC
- REWARD$2.73Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$7.4KJun 10, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$144.07Jun 10, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$0.33Jun 9, 23:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$6.44Jun 9, 23:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.00Jun 9, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$5.00Jun 9, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$5.00Jun 9, 22:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$5.99Jun 9, 22:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$24.9K
Trades
3
Buy share
100%
Window
May 22, 23:50 UTC → Jun 6, 11:38 UTC
- BUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$7.7K@61¢Jun 6, 11:38 UTC
- BUYUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?$9.3K@93¢May 30, 19:22 UTC
- BUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$7.8K@85¢May 22, 23:45 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$7.7K
1 trades
30d volume
$24.9K
3 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
limited
3 ledger trades
Top market concentration
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
$9.3K · 38% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.2K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 03:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 02:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 42 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.