Wallet profile

Sociable-Rooster

0x44c1dfe43260c94ed4f1d00de2e1f80fb113ebc1

activity 82/100

Wallet digest

whale

Activity score

82/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

183

Open notional

$146.5K

Total PnL

$-331.2K

Realised

$-123.3K

Win rate

67%

48 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 183

Recent activity

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

Ledger volume

$324.4K

Trades

2

Buy share

89%

Window

May 22, 23:50 UTC → Jun 19, 04:05 UTC

Last 30 days · daily volumemax $0.00

Wallet edge sanity

Needs review

53/100
read-only

Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.

Late-entry profile

Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

67% win rate over 48 closed markets.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Watch only

29/100
no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.

Wallet signal
pass

46 live trades, 11 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.

Resolved-only track record
pass

48 closed markets, 67% win rate.

Cost / slippage
missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk
missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity
missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation
missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution
missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

89%

Sample

medium

11 ledger trades

Top market concentration

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

$171.7K · 53% of recorded whale volume

Recorded market concentration

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?53% of recorded volume$171.7KStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?19% of recorded volume$61.2K Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?10% of recorded volume$32.2K

Profile dimensions

Activity72 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence100 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry29 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk44 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time)
46
Avg trade size
$190.38
Top category
—
Category concentration
0%
First seen
Jul 24, 16:12 UTC
Last active
Jul 25, 06:53 UTC
Win rate sample
48 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

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updated 09:05:59 UTC·src:Polymarket Data