Costly-Disconnection
0x44d903b8724c1e8a72c03a4858a09f07f3156870
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-435.95
Realised
$-22.55
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- IVORY COAST
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Rwanda vs Ivory Coast
250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
US Kamikaze Dolphins confirmed by May 31?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
98 shares @ 51.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
97 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
96 shares @ 36.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBrazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5$17.54Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYHaiti vs. Scotland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$5.07Jun 13, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5$10.13Jun 13, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMUnited States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5$16.39Jun 13, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5$10.12Jun 13, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$10.17Jun 12, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$10.27Jun 11, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$17.68Jun 1, 12:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$17.95Jun 1, 12:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$24.99May 28, 15:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$71.16May 27, 20:31 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$53.87May 27, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?$14.54May 27, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$21.92May 27, 09:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?$16.80May 27, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?$21.59May 27, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?$23.01May 27, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$5.14May 26, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?$1.03May 25, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?$25.00May 25, 11:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $22.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 16:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.