Physical-Expectancy
0x44f2f0df07acf63a1771923f5475997ec9511415
Quality score
87/100
Open positions
16
Open notional
$501.48
Total PnL
$13.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
14800 shares @ 1.5¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$316.72
$89.76
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1200 shares @ 4.7¢·now 3.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$39.00
$-17.80
- YES
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4000 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$34.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1100 shares @ 5.3¢·now 1.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$20.35
$-37.85
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day?
820 shares @ 3.3¢·now 2.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$20.09
$-7.37
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on IPO day?
300 shares @ 3.5¢·now 5.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$15.90
$5.40
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?
200 shares @ 5.5¢·now 6.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$13.60
$2.60
- YES
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?
100 shares @ 13.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$9.50
$-3.50
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 8.7¢·now 8.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.55
$-0.15
- NO
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.75
$2.55
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.0313h ago
- YIELD$0.032d ago
- YIELD$0.033d ago
- YIELD$0.034d ago
- YIELD$0.035d ago
- YIELD$0.036d ago
- YIELD$0.037d ago
- YIELD$0.028d ago
- YIELD$0.039d ago
- YIELD$0.0310d ago
- YIELD$0.0311d ago
- YIELD$0.0212d ago
- YIELD$0.0313d ago
- YIELD$0.0314d ago
- YIELD$0.0315d ago
- YIELD$0.0316d ago
- YIELD$0.0317d ago
- YIELD$0.0318d ago
- YIELD$0.0319d ago
- YIELD$0.0320d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $1.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 39d ago
- Last active
- 13h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.