Roasted-Founding
0x45132d3fc07c611e45f031f22a2698237df35a38
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$154.60
Total PnL
$-403.37
Realised
$1.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
430 shares @ 15.9¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$66.62
$-1.86
- YES
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
275 shares @ 13.8¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$42.64
$4.64
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
22 shares @ 19.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$21.71
$17.51
- NO
Will Rob Adkerson be the Republican nominee for GA-11?
20 shares @ 61.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$15.04
$2.64
- YES
Will Rhett Marques be the Republican nominee for AL-01?
15 shares @ 44.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$4.05
$-2.55
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?
26 shares @ 19.0¢·now 13.7¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.59
$-1.41
- NO
Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.50
$-0.30
- YES
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
80 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.20
$-24.69
- YES
Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
128 shares @ 38.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.19
$-49.28
- YES
Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 3 weeks?
32 shares @ 17.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.05
$-5.55
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$28.00Jun 8, 05:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$519.07Jun 4, 07:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill David Njoku play for New Orleans Saints in 2026-27?$5.00Jun 3, 13:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill David Njoku play for Jacksonville Jaguars in 2026-27?$5.00Jun 3, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Solo Leveling Season 2 -Arise from the Shadow-" win Best Continuing Series at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$81.73May 23, 14:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Mobile Suit Gundam GQuuuuuuX" win Best Original Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$2.00May 23, 13:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alexis Tipton as Reze (Chainsaw Man – The Movie: Reze Arc) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (English) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$6.04May 23, 12:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bruno Sangregório as Levi Ackerman (Attack on Titan: THE LAST ATTACK) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Brazilian Portuguese) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$6.01May 23, 12:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Jinshi (The Apothecary Diaries Season 2)" win Best Anime Supporting Character at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$5.00May 23, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Doug Jones win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?$471.53May 20, 05:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Charles Booker be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?$15.48May 20, 05:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$28.67May 20, 03:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$325.00May 16, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rob Adkerson be the Republican nominee for GA-11?$6.30May 15, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rob Adkerson be the Republican nominee for GA-11?$6.30May 15, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.28May 14, 19:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$2.97May 14, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$3.20May 14, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$4.90May 13, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$3.76May 13, 13:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $3.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 21:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 05:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.