Incomplete-Hay
0x458f07972b0f27876fde185604150f429fda4792
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$72.86
Total PnL
$-88.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?
20 shares @ 88.5¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.70
$-0.30
- YES
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?
53 shares @ 19.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.79
$0.79
- YES
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 51.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.22
$-0.78
- YES
Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.47
$-3.53
- YES
Over $1.2B crypto hack value in 2026?
7 shares @ 72.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.72
$-0.28
- NO
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
19 shares @ 26.3¢·now 24.6¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$4.69
$-0.31
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 72.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$4.20
$-0.80
- YES
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?
33 shares @ 9.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.17
$0.17
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?
13 shares @ 40.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.06
$-1.94
- YES
Will Hyperliquid reach $62 by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 46.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.83
$0.83
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.50May 17, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$5.06May 17, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$5.15May 16, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$10.20May 16, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.76May 8, 12:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? $1.77May 8, 12:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$1.82May 3, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$2.63May 3, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$4.94May 3, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$3.74May 3, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?$4.97May 3, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$4.99May 3, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$3.81May 2, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid reach $62 by December 31, 2026?$2.08May 2, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$5.00May 2, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$5.00May 2, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?$1.04May 2, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.03May 2, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?$1.06May 2, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$2.14May 2, 22:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $4.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 22:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 14:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".