Helpful-Adoption
0x45b2cb2ae97f7dd81aa20058337a7a8b29b4cbc1
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$10.4K
Total PnL
$7.2K
Realised
$399.17
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
1578 shares @ 19.0¢·now 92.7¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.5K
$1.2K
- YES
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
1308 shares @ 16.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.3K
$1.1K
- NO
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
1764 shares @ 17.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.2K
$943.74
- NO
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
935 shares @ 16.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$934.71
$785.16
- YES
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
846 shares @ 26.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$846.00
$626.04
- NO
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?
842 shares @ 19.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$795.69
$635.71
- YES
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
1998 shares @ 15.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$729.27
$429.57
- NO
Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in May?
686 shares @ 13.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$686.21
$597.00
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
588 shares @ 17.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$526.26
$426.30
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
382 shares @ 27.8¢·now 97.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$372.70
$266.54
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?$0.00May 23, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$0.00May 23, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$0.00May 23, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?$0.00May 23, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$0.00May 23, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$0.00May 23, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$0.00May 23, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.00May 23, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMFDA approves Sanofi’s Subcutaneous Sarclisa?$0.00May 23, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Golden Lions win LRS 2026 Split 1?$10.00May 23, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Drake feature Tems on ICEMAN?$14.74May 23, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hannover 96 achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?$43.50May 23, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$62.96May 23, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ricardo Belmont finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$178.83May 23, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?$307.71May 23, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?$466.03May 23, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?$497.01May 23, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMQatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?$0.00May 5, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on May 1, 2026?$0.00May 5, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$0.00May 5, 08:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $3.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 02:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.