Specific-Antecedent
0x45cdf20614a9fd73b859c7f21416fc77b3fb14dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$461.61
Total PnL
$61.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
423 shares @ 14.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$423.08
$363.08
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
143 shares @ 35.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.14
$-27.86
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
16 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$16.39
$6.39
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
15390 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-99.99
- YES
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?
1254 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 30, 2026?
638 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
416 shares @ 14.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
28 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOMINICAN REP.
Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USA
22 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCrude Oil all time high by April 30?$50.00Apr 21, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 30, 2026?$50.00Apr 21, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$50.00Apr 21, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$50.00Apr 21, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$100.00Apr 21, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$50.00Apr 5, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$10.00Mar 31, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$10.00Mar 31, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$10.00Mar 31, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$10.00Mar 15, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYFinal Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USA$10.00Mar 15, 23:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $36.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 23:47 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 17:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.