0x45d88abfccb71366622e85a488e81075d02510a2
0x45d88abfccb71366622e85a488e81075d02510a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$2.54
Total PnL
$-105.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
298 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.54
$-12.38
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 58-59°F on April 26?
527 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.28
- YES
Will Mark Zuckerberg attend Trump’s Xi summit?
296 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-14.92
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?
268 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.18
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
249 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-14.92
- YES
Will White House post 120-139 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
192 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on April 28?
140 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.18
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
139 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-8.33
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
53 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-9.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 26?
45 shares @ 16.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-7.45
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$77.87Jun 14, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$2.33May 18, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Zuckerberg attend Trump’s Xi summit?$15.49May 14, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$10.21May 11, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$15.49May 2, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$15.62May 2, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$29.26May 2, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$9.95Apr 29, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$9.95Apr 27, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$8.02Apr 27, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?$8.66Apr 27, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on April 26?$7.12Apr 27, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?$10.94Apr 27, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on April 26?$3.08Apr 26, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 58-59°F on April 26?$5.55Apr 26, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on April 28?$5.44Apr 26, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 120-139 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$5.44Apr 26, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m?$2.00Apr 26, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 26?$7.77Apr 26, 10:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $12.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 10:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 03:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.