Ripe-Carotene
0x4619fead540fd5cf1064c83b5e41b77610dcdfef
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$96.66
Total PnL
$-261.50
Realised
$14.53
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
215 shares @ 18.6¢·now 18.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$39.03
$-0.97
- NO
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?
42 shares @ 48.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$23.96
$3.96
- YES
Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?
20 shares @ 50.1¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.88
$0.88
- YES
No one announced as next James Bond?
15 shares @ 67.3¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.32
$0.32
- YES
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
186 shares @ 5.4¢·now 4.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.91
$-2.09
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 75.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.35
$-0.15
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get 58 million or more views on day 4?
110 shares @ 22.0¢·now 2.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$2.20
$-22.00
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
23594 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-93.72
- YES
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
77 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
51 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 58 million or more views on day 4?$17.60May 19, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 58 million or more views on day 4?$2.29May 19, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 58 million or more views on day 4?$4.57May 19, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$10.38May 19, 15:41 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 21?$4.44May 19, 15:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$20.80May 18, 19:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 44 and 46 million views on day 2?$1.00May 18, 12:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$10.64May 18, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 44 and 46 million views on day 2?$4.20May 18, 08:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$10.00May 17, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$40.98May 17, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$1.88May 17, 15:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$16.36May 17, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$26.25May 17, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$0.44May 17, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$0.30May 17, 15:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$42.67May 17, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$20.72May 17, 12:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $12.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 16:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 16:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".