Aggravating-Recognition
0x4649657528e9458051161d433e6b0ab267e0b6da
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
76
Open notional
$62.16
Total PnL
$-93.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 76- YES
Will Alexander Volkanovski fight Max Holloway next?
185 shares @ 0.5¢·now 17.5¢·exp Mar 1, 2027$32.44
$31.44
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?
15 shares @ 20.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$15.00
$12.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?
15 shares @ 39.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp May 13, 2026$7.46
$1.46
- YES
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 37.4¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$5.72
$1.72
- YES
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?
50 shares @ 6.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.20
$-1.80
- YES
Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?
32 shares @ 6.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.34
$-1.59
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the US strike another country first?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Angel" during Women's History Month event?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$6.181d ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?$0.091d ago
- REDEEMUFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?$23.082d ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$66.672d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$20.703d ago
- TRADEBUYUFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?$3.083d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?$1.043d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?$3.123d ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?$17.327d ago
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$9.387d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?$25.257d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$12.267d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?$2.0910d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?$3.0810d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump's tie be blue on May 2, 2026?$1.0310d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Volkanovski fight Max Holloway next?$1.0310d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$2.1010d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?$6.1410d ago
- REDEEMWill Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?$14.2910d ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?$11.3012d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $3.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 43d ago
- Last active
- 1d ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
