Acrobatic-Economics
0x464e56bd1656931279b7e1006f50c2abc2d51a67
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$265.7K
Total PnL
$-74.6K
Realised
$-1.3K
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
106000 shares @ 93.7¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$105.5K
$6.2K
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
108226 shares @ 88.1¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$97.9K
$2.6K
- YES
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
19138 shares @ 56.4¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$16.7K
$6.0K
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
12203 shares @ 94.6¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.1K
$533.08
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
12563 shares @ 82.1¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.8K
$1.5K
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
11396 shares @ 86.1¢·now 59.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$6.8K
$-3.0K
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
5000 shares @ 82.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.5K
$425.00
- YES
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
3510 shares @ 26.3¢·now 66.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.3K
$1.4K
- NO
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
1705 shares @ 88.4¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.6K
$86.73
- NO
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
2000 shares @ 33.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.6K
$910.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$8.90Jun 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$8.97Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$8.97Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$8.96Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$8.96Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$8.97Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$8.97Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$8.97Jun 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$8.96Jun 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$8.97Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$8.98Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$12.84Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- MERGEWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$130.0KJun 3, 07:38 UTC
- YIELD$20.56Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$23.23Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$25.10Jun 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$25.10May 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$25.10May 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$24.92May 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$24.86May 28, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $7.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.