Silly-Folklore
0x4688a3222d224307506bb63169706bedab1f6f23
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-984.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
831 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$830.07
$-0.42
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
201 shares @ 92.7¢·now 92.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$185.88
$-0.12
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
161 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$158.23
$5.23
- NO
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
151 shares @ 90.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$146.44
$10.44
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
151 shares @ 79.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$139.34
$20.34
- NO
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
153 shares @ 78.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$119.76
$0.76
- YES
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
83 shares @ 30.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$37.50
$12.50
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
135 shares @ 14.8¢·now 23.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$31.15
$11.15
- YES
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
47 shares @ 73.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$28.88
$-5.12
- YES
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?
28 shares @ 72.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$19.03
$-0.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$152.27May 18, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?$20.17May 18, 03:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$172.52May 18, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$830.53May 2, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$34.36May 2, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$34.37May 2, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$120.00May 2, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$120.05May 2, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?$136.54May 2, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$153.31May 2, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$170.08May 2, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?$35.79May 2, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$25.00May 2, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?$156.71May 2, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$157.69May 2, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$189.17May 2, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$194.87May 2, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?$197.74May 2, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?$250.69May 2, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$513.14May 2, 08:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $107.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 04:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 03:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".